Showing posts with label complex systems. Show all posts
Showing posts with label complex systems. Show all posts

7/29/2012

Dynamic Models in Biology Review

Dynamic Models in Biology
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This is an excellent book for students or faculty interested in learning more about the current state of the art in modeling of biological systems. The authors make a great effort to keep the mathematical sophistication at a level that students (or faculty) who primarily have a biological background will still be able to follow in some detail. They are also able to suggest some of the exciting current areas of research and new areas for the future. All in all, well worth reading if you are interested in the topic of modeling of biological systems.

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7/11/2012

Complex Adaptive Systems: An Introduction to Computational Models of Social Life (Princeton Studies in Complexity) Review

Complex Adaptive Systems: An Introduction to Computational Models of Social Life (Princeton Studies in Complexity)
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At the time of writing this review, this book isn't searchable through Amazon, that's too bad because if you're reading the reviews wondering if it's worth buying, just browsing through any page from the intro or appendix B would clearly resolve any remnant hesitation. This book is a must have for anyone even remotely interested in complex adaptive systems. Scott Page and John Miller dress the landscape and state of the art of computational social science, the issues are motivated from the ground up and the existing approaches to resolve them explicitly detailed, yet using clear and jargon free language. For example, descriptions of the many concepts repeatedly used in the scientific method (of CAS et al) such as ergodicity or optimization theory are refreshing and insightful, simply stuff you don't get from textbooks, but rather that one would learn over years of experience doing.
In summary, the authors are handing us an expert summary of literature and developments of a complex field in a concise, fun and delightful read, it would be a shame to miss it.

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6/30/2012

Agent-Based Models (Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences) Review

Agent-Based Models (Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences)
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This book is fine as far as it goes. But ABM can only be done with software and it fails to mention one of the key players in this area. The author points out that NetLogo is easiest to learn but too simple for large models. Then he points you to the programmers-only solutions of Repast, Swarm, and Mason -- all academic development environments that require you to program in Java. He bemoans the gap between these two extremes yet somehow he skips AnyLogic which is a true high-level application with drag-and-drop model building, sophisticated libraries, model wizards to help beginners, and many advanced features.
It's hard to believe someone would write a book on ABM without first doing at least a Google search on the available tools.
At any rate, the book is a solid theoretical treatment. If you are an expert Java programmer with the time to code models from scratch this will be an important book.

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Agent-based modeling (ABM) is a technique increasingly used in a broad range of social sciences. It involves building a computational model consisting of 'agents," each of which represents an actor in the social world, and an "environment" in which the agents act. Agents are able to interact with each other and are programmed to be pro-active, autonomous and able to perceive their virtual world. The techniques of ABM are derived from artificial intelligence and computer science, but are now being developed independently in research centers throughout the world.In Agent-Based Models, Nigel Gilbert reviews a range of examples of agent-based modeling, describes how to design and build your own models, and considers practical issues such as verification, validation, planning a modeling project, and how to structure a scholarly article reporting the results of agent-based modeling. It includes a glossary, an annotated list of resources, advice on which programming environment to use when creating agent-based models, and a worked, step-by-step example of the development of an ABM.This latest volume in the SAGE Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences series will have wide appeal in the social sciences, including the disciplines of sociology, economics, social psychology, geography, economic history, science studies, and environmental studies. It is appropriate for graduate students, researchers and academics in these fields, for both those wanting to keep up with new developments in their fields and those who are considering using ABM for their research.Key Features

Aimed at readers who are new to ABM

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6/23/2012

Thinking in Complexity: The Computational Dynamics of Matter, Mind, and Mankind Review

Thinking in Complexity: The Computational Dynamics of Matter, Mind, and Mankind
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[A review of the 4th Edition, 2003.]
This book studies complexity and nonlinearity across a diverse range of applications. Much of the book revolves around organic evolution and the evolution of a sentient mind. And how complexity analysis might aid in the understanding of these fields. Not the least in devising deeper forms of artificial intelligence.
So intriguing techniques like cellular automata and neural networks are studied. There is a fair amount of speculation as to how these and other topics might ultimately relate to sentience or consciousness. But the musings are grounded in solid science. Like that of a Hopfield system or a Boltzmann machine. This 4th edition is a good reflection of the boundaries of our knowledge.

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4/08/2012

Artificial Life Models in Software Review

Artificial Life Models in Software
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Remember Conway's Game of Life? Surely you must, if you are interested in this book. The Game has been around since the 70s. The editors have cultivated recent research papers that demonstrate how far the field has advanced. Reinforced by some pretty colour plates that depict artificial entities [dare we call them living?] in some surroundings. These include the modelling of bee flights through a garden, and simulated trajectories of a group of bacteria.
Nor is the Game of Life ignored. One plate shows it in three dimensions. The Game is played in 2 dimensions, with time as the third dimension. An obvious choice that gives interesting trajectories of the cells.
The narrative adds to the illustrations. By describing a variety of computer simulations [worlds?]. Where the experimenter can tweak many parameters, and watch her world unfold. Some worlds are impressively rich in complexity of observed behaviours.
The only drawback in the book is its skimpy index. A mere two pages. It should have been more detailed.

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The advent of powerful processing technologies and the advances in software development tools have drastically changed the approach and implementation of computational research in fundamental properties of living systems through simulating and synthesizing biological entities and processes in artificial media. Nowadays realistic physical and physiological simulation of natural and would-be creatures, worlds and societies becomes a low-cost task for ordinary home computers. The progress in technology has dramatically reshaped the structure of the software, the execution of a code, and visualization fundamentals. This has led to the emergence of novel breeds of artificial life software models, including three-dimensional programmable simulation environment, distributed discrete events platforms and multi-agent systems. This second edition reflects the technological and research advancements, and presents the best examples of artificial life software models developed in the World and available for users.

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3/19/2012

Understanding Agent Systems (Springer Series on Agent Technology) Review

Understanding Agent Systems (Springer Series on Agent Technology)
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There are several books on intelligent agents and multi-agents systems that I've come across, but most are either too broad-ranging and shallow so that they don't actually get to important core issues, or they're too narrow and mathematical for my liking (and for many others). This excellent book somehow manages to pull off the feat of providing a good introduction to agents, while also drilling down to some fascinating and deep issues in multi-agent systems. What's particularly good is that it does two things - it analyses and explains the issues with really clear textual description, and then provides a more formal description (using the Z specification language) that is surprisingly readable.
After providing an introductory chapter, the book presents a "framework" for understanding agent systems (hence the title) in which it brings together various different notions of agents. The chapters cover the framework itself, the different kinds of inter-agent
relationships that arise within it (to get to multi-agent systems), and more complex agents with greater sophistication. There are also a couple of case-study chapters that show how the model can be used to give descriptions of BDI systems and the contract net.
Throughout, the authors provide really good explanations, and then also formal descriptions using Z. Whether or not you buy the claim that Z is the most used industrial formal method, it turns out that despite the mathematical nature of the Z specification, the book as a whole is really very readable. It is worth noting that the level of mathematical description in the book for describing the framework and the systems is pretty close to abstract code descriptions (which is perhaps not surprising given that Z is intended for use for specifying software). With the appendix intro to Z, the book should also be a useful resource for developers wanting to understand exactly what would be involved in building systems.
One of the difficulties I've found when reading about agents is trying to make sense of some very different ideas and systems, and trying to understand how they fit together. This book provides some of the answers. In summary, the book covers some basic agent concepts, and builds them up to describe quite complex multi-agent systems, moving from abstract ideas to descriptions of specific implemented systems, and showing how they come together. It provides an excellent
introduction to agents, and keeps going to address some much deeper issues.

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Mark d'Inverno and Michael Luck presenta formal approach to dealing with agents and agent systems in this second edition of Understanding Agent Systems. The Z specification language is used to establish an accessible and unified formal account of agent systems and inter-agent relationships. In particular, the framework provides precise and unambiguous meanings for common concepts and terms for agent systems, allows for the description of alternative agent models and architectures, and serves as a foundation for subsequent development of increasingly refined agent concepts. The practicability of this approach is verified by applying the formal framework to three detailed case studies. The book will appeal equally to researchers, students, and professionals in industry.

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2/07/2012

Simulating Society: A Mathematica Toolkit for Modeling Socioeconomic Behavior Review

Simulating Society: A Mathematica Toolkit for Modeling Socioeconomic Behavior
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This book will help you design simulations. It doesn't take you trough the design on the simulation, but rather help you apply certain algorithms to your simulations. If you know simulations and require help in coding Mathematica, this book is for you.

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An exploration of the basis for social and economic behaviour. Using cellular automata in particular, the authors model various factors that are involved in a system of individuals who interact socially and economically with one another. Computer simulations in the social sciences provide a laboratory in which qualitative ideas about social and economic interactions can be tested. This brings a new dimension to the science, where 'explanations' abound, but are rarely subject to much experimental testing. The authors have chosen Mathematica because it has a number of features which make it uniquely qualified for use by social scientists, especially those without expertise in computer programming. Further, users can easily access and readily interact with the various 3.0 Mathematica notebooks, plus other data to be found at www.telospub.com.

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12/10/2011

Analogy-Making as Perception: A Computer Model (Neural Network Modeling and Connectionism) Review

Analogy-Making as Perception: A Computer Model (Neural Network Modeling and Connectionism)
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Melanie Mitchell's analogy-making as perception is a remarkably original book. It documents an artificial intelligence project known as copycat, which was implemented as the author's PhD project under Douglas Hofstadter.
Copycat is unlike anything in artificial intelligence. It is not a symbolic system, neither a connectionist one. The major goal of the project is to study the nature of concepts. Concepts, as we all know, are flexible, context-sensitive creatures. For instance, DNA has nothing to do with a computer program, but there is a sense on which we can see DNA as a computer program that guides embrionary development. DNA can also be seen as a zipper, as it "zips down" in two parts (for cell reproduction). Still another view would be DNA as a will, for it carries valuable hereditary "property". Now, DNA is in truth just a molecule, and nothing else. The question is, how can we see the same thing (such as DNA) as so many different things? Moreover, how can these fluid context-sensitive concepts be implemented in rigid, rule-obeying computers?
To which the answer is: what we view is the abstract roles that DNA plays in embrionary development, cell division, and in individual reproduction. And this is the very idea of "Analogy-making as perception".
Well, not so fast. The copycat project is not designed to grasp such extremely complex subjects as DNA, but, on the other hand, it presents a computational architecture that suggests what the nature of concepts is like, and how flexible concepts may emerge from inflexible mechanisms.
Copycat can solve analogy problems such as abc->abd:ijk-> ?. But it is not restricted to trivial ones. Consider the following analogy: abc ->abd:xyz->?. How would you solve it? How do you think that copycat solves it?
Obviously, this project doesn't fit in very easily in classical artificial intelligence, as it attacks some of the most pervasive ideas of the field, such as the separation of perception and cognition. In fact, I think this book redefines the major questions of artificial intelligence (and although Mitchell does not state it, I think the copycat model does not fall prey to either the frame problem or to the symbol grounding problem).
It is very unfortunate that this is not one of the best-selling books in AI. But I believe that it will ultimately make its mark on the History of the field, if for no other reason than it simply is the right approach to genuine intelligence and authentic understanding.
Should one day Amazon.com let me give a 6-star to a book, but charge me a dollar for giving it, this is one that would definitely deserve to be such a 6-star.
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PS. I would also recommend Hofstadter's Fluid Concepts and Creative Analogies; and Robert French's Subtlety of Sameness.

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The psychologist William James observed that "a native talent forperceiving analogies is... the leading fact in genius of every order." Thecentrality and the ubiquity of analogy in creative thought have been noted again andagain by scientists, artists, and writers, and understanding and modeling analogicalthought have emerged as two of the most important challenges for cognitivescience.Analogy-Making as Perception is based on the premise that analogy-making isfundamentally a high-level perceptual process in which the interaction of perceptionand concepts gives rise to "conceptual slippages" which allow analogies to be made.It describes Copycat - a computer model of analogymaking, developed by the authorwith Douglas Hofstadter, that models the complex, subconscious interaction betweenperception and concepts that underlies the creation of analogies.In Copycat, bothconcepts and high-level perception are emergent phenomena, arising from largenumbers of low-level, parallel, non-deterministic activities. In the spectrum ofcognitive modeling approaches, Copycat occupies a unique intermediate positionbetween symbolic systems and connectionist systems a position that is at present themost useful one for understanding the fluidity of concepts and high-levelperception.On one level the work described here is about analogy-making, but onanother level it is about cognition in general. It explores such issues as thenature of concepts and perception and the emergence of highly flexible concepts froma lower-level "subcognitive" substrate.Melanie Mitchell, Assistant Professor in theDepartment of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science at the University ofMichigan, is a Fellow of the Michigan Society of Fellows. She is also Director ofthe Adaptive Computation Program at the Santa Fe Institute.

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11/10/2011

Cellular Automata Machines: A New Environment for Modeling (Scientific Computation) Review

Cellular Automata Machines: A New Environment for Modeling (Scientific Computation)
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This is a terrific book that takes a step-by-step approach to cellular automata, especially for modelling. Within the first two chapters I had already found several interesting ideas for improving my own general-purpose automata program.
The part of the book that is most dated is the discussion of a specific hardware card and software designed for IBM PCs and ATs, and a specific dialect of Forth that can be used to program automata that will run on this card. Obviously this is no longer the mainstream approach to programming automata - even massively parallel systems programming has moved away from Forth. For me, I think of it as pseudo-code instead of a program example, and the book is still very very useful.
So on the whole, I would say this is a valuable addition to the bookshelf of any automata enthusiast.

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Recently, cellular automata machines with the size, speed, andflexibility for general experimentation at a moderate cost have become available tothe scientific community. These machines provide a laboratory in which the ideaspresented in this book can be tested and applied to the synthesis of a great varietyof systems. Computer scientists and researchers interested in modeling andsimulation as well as other scientists who do mathematical modeling will find thisintroduction to cellular automata and cellular automata machines (CAM) both usefuland timely.Cellular automata are the computer scientist's counterpart to thephysicist's concept of 'field' They provide natural models for many investigationsin physics, combinatorial mathematics, and computer science that deal with systemsextended in space and evolving in time according to local laws. A cellular automatamachine is a computer optimized for the simulation of cellular automata. Itsdedicated architecture allows it to run thousands of times faster than ageneral-purpose computer of comparable cost programmed to do the same task. Inpractical terms this permits intensive interactive experimentation and opens up newfields of research in distributed dynamics, including practical applicationsinvolving parallel computation and image processing.Contents: Introduction. CellularAutomata. The CAM Environment. A Live Demo. The Rules of the Game. Our First rules.Second-order Dynamics. The Laboratory. Neighbors and Neighborhood. Running. ParticleMotion. The Margolus Neighborhood. Noisy Neighbors. Display and Analysis. PhysicalModeling. Reversibility. Computing Machinery. Hydrodynamics. Statistical Mechanics.Other Applications. Imaging Processing. Rotations. Pattern Recognition. MultipleCAMS. Perspectives and Conclusions.Tommaso Toffoli and Norman Margolus areresearchers at the Laboratory for Computer Science at MIT. Cellular AutomataMachines is included in the Scientific Computation Series, edited by DennisCannon.

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11/08/2011

Modeling Nature: Cellular Automata Simulations with Mathematica Review

Modeling Nature: Cellular Automata Simulations with Mathematica
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I have got several ideas from this book. I have never used Mathematica, but one of the most important features of the book, is the fact that is enough clear, and its code can be translated to oher languages veary easy. I recomend this book for every person interested in cellular automata applications and implementations rather that pure theory.

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This is the first volume in a suite of short, inexpensive, paperbound volumes intended for student usage as textbooks, or course supplements, and for purchase as single-copy reference works for professionals in specific disciplines, and, in some cases, for interdisciplinary use. This title focuses on cellular automata simulations while using Mathematica, thus its audience is a generally broad one, although physicists, life scientists and engineers will find this title to be of particular interest. Those familiar with Gaylord's previous book, coauthored with Paul Wellin, "Computer Simulations with Mathematica - Explorations in Complex Biological and Physical Systems", also published by TELOS, will find this new title to be an in-depth extension of some topics dealt with in that book. Modeling Nature: Cellular Automata Simulations with Mathematica, however, contains simulations not found in the Gaylord-Wellin volume. This book will have a DOS-diskette packaged with it, enabling cross-platform access to the code. These data files will also be made accessible online via the Internet at telospub.com FTP and WWW sites.

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9/23/2011

System Modeling in Cellular Biology: From Concepts to Nuts and Bolts (Bradford Books) Review

System Modeling in Cellular Biology: From Concepts to Nuts and Bolts (Bradford Books)
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I'm torn between giving this book 3 or 4 stars. On one hand, it is enjoyable to read and a great value for Amazon's discounted price. On the other hand, the book tries to tackle many modeling techniques at once; I often found myself wishing for more complete descriptions than were provided.
The first section introduces basic concepts of mathematical modeling and considers structures and behaviors characteristic of biological models: The text opens with a discussion of the compromise between model scope and informativeness. Trade-offs of biological robustness and complexity are discussed. Modularity is explored as a unifying property of biological systems.
The next section discusses a range of mathematical modeling frameworks. Bayesian logic is introduced as a means to discriminate among competing models (hypotheses) of biological systems. Quasi-steady state stoichiometric methods, non-linear ODEs, PDEs, and stochastic methods are each given a chapter. Biological network topology is also discussed. While the topics are presented well (some better than others), many (especially the topology and PDE chapters) would benefit from more extensive coverage and mathematical background. The toy model examples are also very simplistic; I would have liked to see discussion of special considerations for higher-dimensional systems.
The third section was the most useful for me and at the same time the most frustrating. It discusses practical issues: experimental data collection, model identification, parameter estimation, and control theory. There is a chapter on gene regulatory systems (think BioBricks or Uri Alon's work) and a brief discussion of multi-scale (cellular/tissue/organ) models. These practical issues - the 'nuts and bolts' of the title - were exactly what I hoped to learn about. However, the coverage is only superficial. I often found myself digging up references to clarify questions which (I felt) should have been addressed in the text.
The final section addresses computing. Algorithm complexity and machine representation of models are informally described. I would have liked to see model identification and parameter estimation covered much more thoroughly - these can be computationally intensive for large models.Runge-Kutta ODE algorithms and stochastic algorithms (Gillespie, tau-leaping, and Langevin) are discussed and computational challenges (e.g., stiffness) are detailed. The book ends with a description of system biology markup language (SBML) and a list of current (as of 2006) open source modeling tools.
I would recommend this books to biological modelers who wish to get a taste of other modeling approaches outside their own specialty. Math students coming into biological projects might also benefit from the introduction to the field. However, the lack of a mathematical review section might leave pure-biology students confused unless they consult dedicated math or modeling texts.
A complete table of contents may be found at The MIT Press website.

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Research in systems biology requires the collaboration of researchersfrom diverse backgrounds, including biology, computer science, mathematics,statistics, physics, and biochemistry. These collaborations, necessary because ofthe enormous breadth of background needed for research in this field, can behindered by differing understandings of the limitations and applicability oftechniques and concerns from different disciplines. This comprehensive introductionand overview of system modeling in biology makes the relevant background materialfrom all pertinent fields accessible to researchers with different backgrounds.Theemerging area of systems level modeling in cellular biology has lacked a criticaland thorough overview. This book fills that gap. It is the first to provide thenecessary critical comparison of concepts and approaches, with an emphasis on theirpossible applications. It presents key concepts and their theoretical background,including the concepts of robustness and modularity and their exploitation to studybiological systems; the best-known modeling approaches, and their advantages anddisadvantages; lessons from the application of mathematical models to the study ofcellular biology; and available modeling tools and datasets, along with theircomputational limitations.

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9/17/2011

Computational Modeling of Genetic and Biochemical Networks (Computational Molecular Biology) Review

Computational Modeling of Genetic and Biochemical Networks (Computational Molecular Biology)
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Regulatory networks are central to every aspect of computational biology. Determining what they are, and what genes, proteins, and post-translational modifications interact is a major and exciting field of study.
I just didn't come away from this book with that excitement. I was hoping for more about the large-scale regulation networks, but these papers go down to the quantum mechanics of interactions between pairs of molecules. I appreciate that the exact interactions matter, and that computation is probably the only way to examine some kinds of interactions (e.g. the ones in lethal mutations). It's just not what I think of as a "network."
I was also hoping for some more specifics about the computation techniques. There were some interesting insights here. For example, I never thought about the similarities between steady state chemical equilibrium and steady state Markov model behavior before, but the formalisms have striking similarities. I was also interested in some of the information-based measures for determining how well a model represents a system. I learned that the statistical assumptions behind normal chemical "equilibrium" break down at the scale of bacteria - instead, presence or absence of individual molecules matters more. Still, those were isolated kinds of facts and never came together into a whole for me.
The range of views was worthwhile. On the whole, though, the models all seemed very low-level to me, probably not well suited to handling more than a few dozen interactions, and the computation specifics were not always explicit. I'm still looking for a book with more information that I can apply directly.

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The advent of ever more sophisticated molecular manipulation techniqueshas made it clear that cellular systems are far more complex and dynamic thanpreviously thought. At the same time, experimental techniques are providing analmost overwhelming amount of new data. It is increasingly apparent that linkingmolecular and cellular structure to function will require the use of newcomputational tools.This book provides specific examples, across a wide range ofmolecular and cellular systems, of how modeling techniques can be used to explorefunctionally relevant molecular and cellular relationships. The modeling techniquescovered are applicable to cell, developmental, structural, and mathematical biology;genetics; and computational neuroscience. The book, intended as a primer for boththeoretical and experimental biologists, is organized in two parts: models of geneactivity and models of interactions among gene products. Modeling examples areprovided at several scales for each subject. Each chapter includes an overview ofthe biological system in question and extensive references to important work in thearea.

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9/08/2011

Managing Business Complexity: Discovering Strategic Solutions with Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation Review

Managing Business Complexity: Discovering Strategic Solutions with Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation
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'Managing Business Complexity' is a great start at bridging the significant academic work in complexity science over recent years to business applications. It provides an introduction to agent-based simulations and an overview of the characteristics and advantages of agents, and walks the reader through two illustrative examples. Such examples are especially helpful to readers with little or no previous experience using agent-based models.
Applications of complexity science to business are still in their infancy. As such, the discussion in the book leans towards the academic, and more pointedly towards programmers rather than business practitioners with scant scientific background. Future editions of this book might benefit from including further business applications, and including the impact to bottom line.
This book is highly recommended as an overview of this exciting subject and its applicability to business situations.

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Agent-based modeling and simulation (ABMS), a way to simulate a large number of choices by individual actors, is one of the most exciting practical developments in business modeling since the invention of relational databases. It represents a new way to understand data and generate information that has never been available before--a way for businesses to view the future and to understand and anticipate the likely effects of their decisions on their markets and industries. It thus promises to have far-reaching effects on the way that businesses in many areas use computers to support practical decision-making.Managing Business Complexity is the first complete business-oriented agent-based modeling and simulation resource. It has three purposes: first, to teach readers how to think about ABMS, that is, about agents and their interactions; second, to teach readers how to explain the features and advantages of ABMS to other people and third, to teach readers how to actually implement ABMS by building agent-based simulations. It is intended to be a complete ABMS resource, accessible to readers who haven't had any previous experience in building agent-based simulations, or any other kinds of models, for that matter. It is also a collection of ABMS business applications resources, all assembled in one place for the first time. In short, Managing Business Complexity addresses who needs ABMS and why, where and when ABMS can be applied to the everyday business problems that surround us, and how specifically to build these powerful agent-based models.

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8/30/2011

Mathematics for Dynamic Modeling, Second Edition Review

Mathematics for Dynamic Modeling, Second Edition
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This is not a new cover on an older book. Having enjoyed Beltrami's first book I was glad to see a second. The new continues the subject of modeling not math. Well written, the author's book ties the conceptual difficulites of the subjects with the necessary math to get the point accross and guide the reader to new frontiers of insight again in the sense of the physical model not the math. This is a very important point! One does not lose sight of the over-all objective as with some math intensive proof types. The beauty of the work is getting the necessary across with the least. One disappointment though. The book was to short. I hope the author continues another work. Perhaps some more indepth of previous covered material. All examples and problems are easily solved in Mathcad, which already has the depth but sometimes not the explanation.

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8/24/2011

Generative Social Science: Studies in Agent-Based Computational Modeling (Princeton Studies in Complexity) Review

Generative Social Science: Studies in Agent-Based Computational Modeling (Princeton Studies in Complexity)
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Josh Epstein's new Opus is a landmark publication in the emerging field of multiagent-based simulation of dynamic social systems. Since Josh is not only one of this still nascent (though burgeoning) field's ablest and most creative practitioners, but also among its most thoughtful critics, the reader of has two treats in store: (1) a generous, and wide-ranging, sampling of case studies (including social networks and evolution, population growth, emergence of economic classes, civil unrest, timing of retirement, the dynamics of adaptive organizations and the spread of infectious disease), and (2) a cogent "meta" discussion of what multiagent models ARE, ARE NOT and how (when their properties and limitations are *not* properly taken account of) they can easily be MISAPPLIED.
Far from suggesting that multiagent-based models are a panacea solution to all (or most) social dynamical systems, Josh's book carefully articulates the conditions for which such an approach IS (and is NOT) appropriate; an approach rarely taken by other, similar, overviews of the field. Indeed, the cogent philosophical discussion in Chapter One - alone! - in which the generativist's position is defined and put into a broader modeling/simulation context, is worth the price of admission; I have not seen a better "manifesto" of multiagent-based modeling elsewhere.
Finally, without taking away any of the inherent "beauty" (in the technical sense) of the often exaggerated concept of "emergence," Josh succeeds admirably in both defining the term, and de-mystifying it, stripping it of some of its unnecessary "quasi-mystical" baggage (at least as it is often portrayed in lay publications).
Anyone who is interested in understanding how agent models may be used to help explore the dynamics of social dynamical systems, should have this book firmly on top of their "must read" list! Josh has generously provided future generations of agent explorers their go-to source of both inspiration and ideas. Well done Josh!

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Agent-based computational modeling is changing the face of social science. In Generative Social Science, Joshua Epstein argues that this powerful, novel technique permits the social sciences to meet a fundamentally new standard of explanation, in which one "grows" the phenomenon of interest in an artificial society of interacting agents: heterogeneous, boundedly rational actors, represented as mathematical or software objects. After elaborating this notion of generative explanation in a pair of overarching foundational chapters, Epstein illustrates it with examples chosen from such far-flung fields as archaeology, civil conflict, the evolution of norms, epidemiology, retirement economics, spatial games, and organizational adaptation. In elegant chapter preludes, he explains how these widely diverse modeling studies support his sweeping case for generative explanation.

This book represents a powerful consolidation of Epstein's interdisciplinary research activities in the decade since the publication of his and Robert Axtell's landmark volume, Growing Artificial Societies. Beautifully illustrated, Generative Social Science includes a CD that contains animated movies of core model runs, and programs allowing users to easily change assumptions and explore models, making it an invaluable text for courses in modeling at all levels.


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8/17/2011

Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World with CD-ROM Review

Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for  a Complex World with CD-ROM
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The field of system dynamics was created in 1956 under the leadership of MIT Professor Jay W. Forrester to evaluate how alternative policies affect growth, stability, fluctuation, and changing behavior in corporations, cities, and countries. Forrester founded the System Dynamics Program in the Alfred P. Sloan School of Management at MIT. John Sterman is currently Director of the System Dynamics Group at MIT.
This text is a summary of the wisdom and knowledge gathered over more than twenty years of research dedicated to the study of practical methods for systems thinking and the dynamic modeling of complex systems. It is well written, easy to understand, and worthy of serious consideration.
I believe the text is destined to become a classic. It is written in a straightforward style and does not require prerequisite knowledge of higher mathematics. Indeed, in the author's words, "one of the strengths of the text is the way it presents system dynamics with a minimum of mathematical formalism. The goal is to develop the reader's intuition and conceptual understanding, without sacrificing the rigor of the scientific method." This goal is achieved well.
The text opens with a succinct and well organized description of approaches to the study of complex systems. It develops a set of principles for successful use of systems dynamics and provides well-written overviews of the Modeling Process and dynamic systems.
It covers the construction of causal loop diagrams and describes their application in a variety of business and engineering examples.
This is one of the best texts in its field for upper division undergraduate courses and graduate programs. It will be useful to many in business, engineering, and science.

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The leading authority on system dynamics explains this approach to organizational problem solving, emphasizing simulation models to understand issues such as fluctuating sales, market growth and stagnation, the reliability of forecasts and the rationality of business decision-making. The CD includes modeling software from Vensim, ithink, and PowerSim.

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