3/28/2012

Clinical Prediction Models: A Practical Approach to Development, Validation, and Updating (Statistics for Biology and Health) Review

Clinical Prediction Models: A Practical Approach to Development, Validation, and Updating (Statistics for Biology and Health)
Average Reviews:

(More customer reviews)
Great book! Simple and understandable language. Nice graphs to explain the theory. All the statements are referenced and or supported with examples. Overall the book has a lot of depth as well; so it will be useful for your introduction to prediction models, but also later on. I was getting lost in all the publications and statistical study books, until I found this book.

Click Here to see more reviews about: Clinical Prediction Models: A Practical Approach to Development, Validation, and Updating (Statistics for Biology and Health)

This book aims to provide insight and practical illustrations on how modern statistical concepts and regression methods can be applied in medical prediction problems, including diagnostic and prognostic outcomes. Many advances have been made in statistical approaches towards outcome prediction, but these innovations are insufficiently applied in medical research. Old-fashioned, data hungry methods are often used in data sets of limited size, validation of predictions is not done or only in a simplistic way, and updating of already available models is not considered. A sensible strategy is needed for model development, validation, and updating, such that prediction models can better support medical practice.Clinical Prediction Models presents a practical checklist with seven steps that need to be considered for development of a valid prediction model. These include preliminary considerations such as dealing with missing values; coding of predictors; selection of main effects and interactions for a multivariable model; estimation of model parameters with shrinkage methods and incorporation of external data; evaluation of performance and clinical usefulness; internal validation; and presentation format. The steps are illustrated with many small case studies and R computer code, with data sets made available in the public domain [http://www.clinicalpredictionmodels.org/]. The book further focuses on generalizability of prediction models, including patterns of invalidity that may be encountered in new settings, approaches to modifying and extending a model, and comparisons of centers after case-mix adjustment by a prediction model.The text is primarily intended for epidemiologists and applied biostatisticians. It can be used as a textbook for a graduate course on predictive modeling in diagnosis and prognosis. It is beneficial if readers are familiar with common statistical models in medicine: linear regression, logistic regression, and Cox regression. The book is practical in nature. But it also provides a philosophical perspective on data analysis in medicine that goes beyond predictive modeling. In this era of evidence-based medicine, randomized clinical trials are the basis for assessment of treatment efficacy. Prediction models are key to individualizing diagnostic and treatment decision-making.

Buy NowGet 20% OFF

Click here for more information about Clinical Prediction Models: A Practical Approach to Development, Validation, and Updating (Statistics for Biology and Health)

No comments:

Post a Comment